⚙️ Framework & Transparency

Scenarios Map

Possible AI-shaped futures for humanity—to be refined where hopeful, prevented where harmful

  • 🟢 Utopia — 25 %
    Abundance with options for everyone. Think: Star Trek

  • 🟡 Turbulence — 35 %
    Decades of messy adjustment and rolling shocks. Think: The Road

  • 🟣 Dictatorship — 20 %
    A person or group uses AI to grab all the power. Think: 1984

  • 🔴 Extinction — 5 %
    Humanity wiped out by runaway AI. Think: Terminator

  • 🟠 Collapse — 5 %
    Tech and systems break; we slide backward for decades. Think: Station Eleven

  • 🟤 Plateau — 10 %
    AI a useful tool but progress eventually stalls. Think: Star Wars

Where did this come from? I shared a transcript of this discussion with ChatGPT-o3 and it identified a few scenarios. After some prodding from me (“What if this happens? What if that happens?”), it landed on these six. I asked it to research and assign probabilities to each. At some point, I also asked for fictional examples.

Tactic Categories

The arenas where everyday humans can shape the future right back

🛠️ Body & Gear · 🧠 Mind & Skills · 👫 Community · 💼 Work & Wealth · 🗳️ Civic · 🕊️ Spirit & Perspective

Where did this come from? In one discussion with ChatGPT-o3, I shared the idea for this blog and asked how it would strengthen the concept. ChatGPT suggested I “Keep a visible taxonomy—e.g., Body • Skills • Community • Mind • Finances. Tag each post with 1-2 of these buckets.”

How I Use AI to Make This Blog

I orchestrate, AI does all the rest.

Why?

  • Less time fiddlin’ with the blog, more time field-testing

  • Like you, I’m trying to get good at using AI

Yes, I see the irony…and possible hypocrisy…and at least some of the possible naïveté

I acknowledge the horrible places AI may take us, soon, yet I’m using AI to help brainstorm, draft posts, etc. I’m someone who agrees we should reject strong AI altogether. Brain drain is real, and if I’m not careful, it’s possible AI quietly starts to mislead and even to replace me as the user (making me the tool).

But I’m betting fluency beats ignorance when steering any technology and that my prompts won’t accelerate frontier training runs. I’ll be skeptical of outputs, alternating between different models and practicing source triangulation.

Also, FWIW, with this blog I’m simply sharing what I’m doing, not telling you what you should do.

License & Changelog

  • Text + hand-made images — CC BY-SA 4.0.

  • 2025-06-27 v 1.0


Questions, corrections, or philosophical rants? → <josh@prepfor.ai>